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Oct 12

NBC/Marist poll shows Evers leading Walker by 10 points

A new poll released Thursday by NBC/Marist shows Democratic candidate Tony Evers leading incumbent Governor Scott Walker by 10 points, just four weeks ahead of the November 6 election. The results vary sharply from a poll released earlier in the week by Marquette University Law School. That poll had the governor’s race in a statistical tie, although a Marquette poll two weeks earlier showed Evers leading Walker by 7 points.

The latest NBC/Marist poll shows Evers with 53 percent support among likely voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Walker gets 43 percent. Among the larger pool of registered voters in the state, Evers’ lead is 9 points, 52 percent to 43 percent — down from his 13-point lead in July’s NBC/Marist poll.

The NBC/Marist poll said the differences between its results and those of Marquette poll are attributed to these factors:

1. The polls use different samples: Marquette uses a voter list; Marist uses random digit dialing.

2. The polls use different likely-voter models: Marquette’s model is based exclusively on voters certain to vote; Marist’s uses a probability model based on interest, chance of vote and past vote.

3. Voter ID: Marquette’s sample among likely voters was R+3; Marist’s was D+1.

Whatever the polls show now, it is clear, said WEAC President Ron Martin, that getting out the vote will make the difference in the November 6 election.

“Wisconsin public school educators stand firmly with Dr. Evers, because he’s focused on the issues that matter – like schools and roads,” Martin said.

Read more about the NBC/Marist poll:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-walker-trails-race-wisconsin-governor-n919146

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/411059-poll-walker-down-10-points-in-wisconsin-gubernatorial-race